SME Times is powered by   
Search News
Just in:   • India’s solar panel exports surge as world looks beyond China  • India targets $1 billion banana exports as sea route trial proves successful  • Gross NPA ratio of India’s banks falls to 12-year low of 2.6 pc  • India's economy, banks in robust health: RBI  • Year Ender 2024: India's indicators on an uptrend, many sectors see rise in global rankings 
Last updated: 23 Apr, 2019  

Up.Down.Arrow.9.Thmb.jpg A look at, and beyond, GDP numbers

GDP.9.jpg
   Top Stories
» India’s solar panel exports surge as world looks beyond China
» Gross NPA ratio of India’s banks falls to 12-year low of 2.6 pc
» Centre inks 72 MoUs to empower persons with disabilities, launches 100 cr worth projects this year
» Area sown under rabi crops rises to 614.94 lakh hectares
» Indian manufacturers to allocate 11-15 pc of investments on smart tech in 2 years: CII
Bikky Khosla | 23 Apr, 2019

India's GDP growth forecast for 2019-20 was lowered by multiple agencies recently. First, the ADB cut it to 7.2% from 7.6%. It was followed by the RBI’s cut to 7.2% from 7.4% and then by the IMF to 7.3%. The economy grew 6.6% in the December quarter, the slowest in five quarters, which prompted the CSO to trim its 2018-19 forecast to 7% in February. These projections signal to the need of taking care of our growth momentum.

Meanwhile, while the government has consistently claimed that India’s official GDP figures are accepted globally, the IMF Chief Economist recently expressed doubt over them. Previously, 108 economists expressed similar doubt. However, the IMF chief clearly welcomed the changes made to the GDP calculation in 2015, but flagged concerns only over some "deflator" used in the calculation. Our policy makers need to urgently act on this issue as well.

Most economists question why India, despite growing at a rate, which, in global comparative terms, is commendable, has failed to create enough jobs. Earlier this year, a report citing a leaked National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) survey revealed that unemployment in the country was at a 45-year-high in 2017-18. No doubt, in recent years the challenge of youth unemployment has come to the fore, and in terms of job creation the performance of the economy is hardly encouraging.

There are some other economic indicators in terms of which the performance of the economy is disappointing. Exports, for instance, witnessed just above 10% growth in the last five years after having more than doubled in the five years preceding 2014. The farm sector is floundering as well. Similarly, since FY13, gross capital formation as a percentage of GDP has dropped from 17% to 12% of GDP. These trends need to be reversed.

I invite your opinions.

 
Print the Page
Add to Favorite
 
Share this on :
 

Please comment on this story:
 
Subject :
Message:
(Maximum 1500 characters)  Characters left 1500
Your name:
 

 
  Customs Exchange Rates
Currency Import Export
US Dollar
84.35
82.60
UK Pound
106.35
102.90
Euro
92.50
89.35
Japanese Yen 55.05 53.40
As on 12 Oct, 2024
  Daily Poll
Will the new MSME credit assessment model simplify financing?
 Yes
 No
 Can't say
  Commented Stories
 
 
About Us  |   Advertise with Us  
  Useful Links  |   Terms and Conditions  |   Disclaimer  |   Contact Us  
Follow Us : Facebook Twitter