IANS | 25 Mar, 2024
It is now well established that China has -- with the Sino-Pak axis
bolstering its threat potential -- emerged as the source of a lasting
danger for India's defence and security and for that reason alone that
country needed to be studied in depth on a continual basis from the
angles of ideology that governs it, the philosophy that guides its
military growth and the advance it is striving to achieve in the sphere
of technology of combat.
From what appears in the public domain by way of its proclaimed
objectives, President Xi Jinping's China has been following the strategy
of gaining 'civil-military fusion', total supremacy of the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) and a steady push towards becoming the second
superpower through the economic and technological route -- apart from
pursuing the path of a defence build-up.
Xi's rise to power in
China now matches that of Mao Zedong and his definition of Chinese
ideology as 'Marxism with Chinese characteristics' is part of "Xi's
Thought" put in the party's constitution.
Significantly, it calls
for embracing the 'Civilisational strength' of China to build the
nation- there is a learning from this for India. While making rapid
strides in the area of using technology including artificial
intelligence (AI) for the purposes of offence and defence, China wants
to buy time for its economic consolidation and is apparently inclined to
avoid a military confrontation with its main rival -- the US, at
present. This came out during the meeting between US President Joe Biden
and his Chinese counterpart Xi at the APEC summit in San Francisco in
November last year.
It must have come as a relief to Xi when Biden
observed that the US was "not seeking a conflict with China" -- the US
President obviously had Russia weighing on his mind far more in the
context of the ongoing Ukraine-Russia military confrontation.
It
is a matter of great satisfaction that India is putting a comprehensive
strategy in place for countering the threat from China and in a
multi-prong response concentrating on measures to deal with the
adversary on land and sea as well as in the air- through the development
of missile and drone technology.
Indo-US relations are being
constantly upgraded in the context of a new Cold War appearing on the
horizon between the US and China and India is also successfully opposing
the Chinese designs at international forums while assuming an active
profile on a multilateral platform like Quad, in association with the
US.
In a Marxist state, the released party documents tell a lot
about which way the country was proceeding and these have to be closely
studied and analysed.
Cyber warfare and the use of social media as
an instrument of combat come naturally to China as they fit in with the
Marxist maxim of 'winning a war without a battle' and so does the
thesis of 'two steps forward one step backwards' that was designed to
get away with 'salami slicing' which was likely to be practised by the
adversary on our borders.
Since May 2020, the Chinese troops have
engaged in aggressive activities and precipitated skirmishes along the
Sino-Indian border.
India has done well in the regime of Prime
Minister Narendra Modi to carry out the necessary military build-up
along the India-China border, particularly in Eastern Ladakh and
Arunachal Pradesh and also push forward the civilian settlements there
to match the Chinese activities along LAC.
A lot is being done
also to enhance the Naval power of India in the Indian Ocean where China
was using Male as a springboard for deploying its Naval 'spy' ship
possibly for hydrographic studies in the Indian Ocean.
China has
managed to have an ingress in Afghanistan because of Pakistan's
initiative in arranging a 'give and take' between the Taliban Emirate
and the Marxist state and has also stepped up its political and economic
bonding with India’s neighbours including Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh,
Sri Lanka, Myanmar, and Maldives.
India has to safeguard its
neighbourhood against China’s attempts to use these countries to create
bases for anti-India activities.
Against a Marxist China that has
called for rallying behind the 'civilisational strength' of the country,
India has to respond with the 'whole of the nation' strategy and
project the mandate that democratic India was 'one nation'.
The
substratum of 'one man one vote' on which India’s democracy has been
tested over decades, leaves little scope for politics of religion, caste
and region particularly when the governance of the country did not
carry any denominational stamp and the state policies did not make any
distinctions amongst citizens.
Moreover, nationalism strengthens
democracy and the political opposition would do well to own it with full
vigour. India is a land of socio-cultural diversities and different
modes of worship but with one secular political umbrella created by the
multi-party system submitting to a common electoral process.
Indian
parties have to learn to keep national security above politics and not
inject any element of 'separatism' in their campaigns.
Narratives
of 'majoritarianism', 'authoritarianism' and 'minority concerns' can not
become the tools of running politics from behind and care has to be
taken to ensure that ‘influence warfare’ of anti-India lobbies often
working in conjunction with civil society groups opposed to the
government of the day, did not damage our national interests by running a
'proxy' offensive for vested reasons.
Indian voters always prove
to be shrewd judge of the merit and performance of the rulers and opt
for good governance. Also, the average Indian showed great sensitivity
to matters of security of the nation and even pushed personal economic
concerns into the background whenever called upon to contribute to such a
higher cause. In the present context, the promise of a stable
government would be a major concern of the voter.
There is another emerging area of concern for India attributable to Sino-Pak collaboration.
The
Biden administration in the US has for some time been engaged in
defending Islam as a faith that ought not to be discredited and defamed
and seems to have felt particularly concerned over Islamophobic trends
noticed in the US in the wake of the Israel-Hamas confrontation that
began with the terrorist attack of Hamas on Israel on October 7 last
year.
In a statement issued by the White House on March 15, it was
announced that the US will develop the first-ever "national strategy to
counter the scourge of Islamophobia and hate in all its forms" in the
US and elsewhere.
The unusually large civilian casualties of over
30,000 resulting in Gaza from the Israeli attacks and domestic
developments like forced resignations of the Presidents of Harvard and
Pennsylvania universities for permitting pro-Palestinian demonstrations
on the campus, seemed to have compelled the White House to try to be
politically correct by speaking up against Islamophobia.
Not
unexpectedly, Pakistan and China co-sponsored on March 15 a draft
resolution in the UN General Assembly on 'measures to combat
Islamophobia', which was passed with 115 nations including both the US
and Russia supporting it, no member expressing its opposition and 44
countries including India, Brazil, Ukraine and a number of European
countries like UK, France, Germany and Italy, abstaining from voting.
Pakistan
was representing the Organisation of Islamic Conference (OIC) -- the
57-member block of Muslim countries chaired by Saudi Arabia.
India
rightly took the stand that all acts motivated by anti-Semitism,
Christianophobia or Islamophobia should be condemned and faiths other
than Abrahamic religions should also be brought under the purview of the
resolution.
India pointed out that anti-Hindu, anti-Buddhist and anti-Sikh sentiments had also surfaced internationally.
Indian
representative strongly advised the UN to maintain itself above such
faith-related matters as this otherwise would have the effect of
dividing the world body into "religious camps".
The move of
Pakistan and China at the UN confirms the strategic strength of the
Sino-Pak axis and reminds India of its adverse potential for this
country.
India houses the second-largest Muslim population in the world and believes in treating all religions with equal respect.
There
has been considerable criticism in Pakistan of the announcement of the
implementation of the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) by India which was
meant for accommodating the non-Muslim minorities persecuted in the
three Islamic countries in India's neighbourhood -- Pakistan, Bangladesh
and Afghanistan.
The Pak-sponsored resolution in UNGA was aimed,
on one hand, at defending Islam against the implicit criticism of
Sharia-ruled states for the unequal status accorded to non-Muslims by
them and running down India, on the other, for the alleged suppression
of Muslim minority in this country.
Introducing the resolution in
the UN General Assembly, Munir Akram, Permanent Representative of
Pakistan at the UN, referred without naming India, to the lynching of
Muslims by cow vigilantes as well as the attacks on women wearing the
'hijab' and particularly denounced the act of "gleefully consecrating a
Hindu temple on the ruins of a historical 500 years old mosque".
It
appeared that UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres and the US were on
the same side of the fence -- in believing that there is a rising trend
of anti-Muslim hate reflected in unequal immigration policies, profiling
and restrictions placed on Muslims in according citizenship to them, in
many parts of the world.
The democratic world however, should be
aware that it is Islam that claimed supremacism of faith on the ground
that it was declared as the only 'perfect' religion -- which also
happened to be the last -- and did not place other religions on an equal
footing.
The US wants to keep its hold in the Middle East and for
that reason consistently stands by its old friends Saudi Arabia and
UAE. It should however, be fully cognisant of the fact that in the wake
of the 'war on terror', the hold of Islamic radicals had become stronger
in the Muslim world creating a divide between the 'radicalised'
countries hostile to the US-led West and those in deep friendship with
the US. The former carries the historical legacy of the Nineteenth
century Wahhabi Jehad that was directed against the European colonial
powers in Algeria, Arabia and India -- this could be one reason why
countries like the UK and France unlike the US, abstained from voting on
the Pak-sponsored resolution against Islamophobia moved in UNGA.
India has to watch out for hostile lobbies pushing ahead with their propaganda on Muslim issues on the lines of the UN verdict.
Indo-US
relations draw strength from a shared concern over the rise of Islamic
radical forces in the Muslim world and this is reflected in the deep
friendship enjoyed by the two countries with Saudi Arabia and UAE which
were targeted by radical forces.
The US policymakers would do well
not to let any manoeuvrings of Pakistan or the influence of anti-India
lobbies alleging unequal treatment of Muslim minorities in India, affect
their better judgement. In the final analysis, there is no change in
the security assessment that the Sino-Pak strategic alliance remains on
top of the threats to India and requires a comprehensive handling in the
spheres of defence, internal security and diplomacy.
Both
Pakistan and China, it may be recalled, had joined hands in campaigning
against India on the issue of Kashmir, particularly after the abrogation
of Article 370 of the Constitution by the Indian Parliament in August
2019. India has to be extra vigilant against the 'information warfare'
being run by the two hostile neighbours of India on the domestic matters
of this country.
(The writer is former Director of the Intelligence Bureau. Views are personal)