IANS | 30 Dec, 2023
It is not too distant in the past that the world witnessed a great
transformation resulting from a combination of epoch-making developments
- all occurring around the same time at the beginning of the 1990s.
These literally created a 'new world order' impacting not only the
economy and business but national security and international cooperation
as well.
An unprecedented level of ‘globalisation’ was reached in
terms of both economic expansion and a universally shared threat to
security when the Cold War ended due to the dismemberment of the USSR
and the demise of International Communism, the advent of Information
Technology revolution created border fewer markets and faith-based new
global terror rooted in Islamic ‘radicalisation’ represented by Taliban,
Al Qaeda and ISIS registered a rising graph.
The upswing of
Terrorism can be traced to the turbulent post-Soviet Afghanistan when
Pakistan sent in the Taliban to control that country and facilitated the
installation of the Kabul Emirate of Taliban in 1996.
Since
Islamic radicals considered the US-led West as their first enemy - this
was rooted in historical legacy, the Emirate ran into problems with the
US making the latter work for its ouster. This laid the turf for 9/11
that in turn resulted in the US-sponsored ‘war on terror’ in Afghanistan
and Iraq.
The ‘war on terror’ was utilised by Islamic radical
forces to spread their hold in the Muslim world somewhat at the cost of
the allies of the US like Saudi Arabia, UAE and Bahrain.
The
overriding impact of the new world order was in giving a boost to
economic globalisation where the agenda was largely set by the US but
the strategy of countering the terror of Islamic radicals also became
equally important for the US.
India and the US had to be together
for their mutual economic advancement but they also had to join hands,
as the two largest democracies, in leading the democratic world against
the peril of the faith-based terrorism that was sustained by the
fundamentalist notions of supremacism and exclusivism of Islam as a
faith.
The driving force behind economic globalisation - which
became the prime characteristic of the post-Cold War world, was the
arrival of Information Technology (IT) that enabled instant
communication across geographical boundaries to set new norms of
entrepreneurship and competition - permitting a ‘smart’ player to take
on its much larger and more resourceful rivals from any part of the
globe.
‘Smartness’ lay in producing more per unit of resource that
IT helped in and businesses were compelled to study both market trends
as well as use of technology to stay in competition. Intelligence by
definition is the information that enables you to see what lies ahead
and since this could be gleaned out of an analysis of the enormous
amount of data that was being put in the public domain regularly,
corporates willingly invested in a set-up that would produce Business
Intelligence for them.
Intelligence is a word normally used in the
context of national security but the applied version of it is now not
only a part of the business world but ‘being well informed’- which was
the mandate of the Age of Information - has also become a means of
running personal and family life on a note of success. Ignorance cannot
be defended any more and an awareness of what the socio-economic scene
and even the crime situation was like, would be a factor in keeping one
safe and secure.
Terrorism, Narcotics and Illicit arms have
brought issues of national security closer to the citizens because they
came into operation where people lived and that is another reason why
citizens should keep themselves broadly informed of the social security
environment around them.
It is the duty of the State to keep the
citizens safe and there is a certain expectation from the people that
they would contribute to this mandate, too.
Fundamental Duties defined in the Constitution have acquired a newfound importance in the context of India’s internal security.
It
can be said that just as the world transited from the Industrial Age to
the Age of Information in the early Nineties, it is now shifting to the
Age of Intelligence because for nations, organisations and even
individuals, perceptions of ‘what lies ahead’ are becoming even more
important in the light of new geopolitical developments, the economic
situation in the world and at home and the changing security scenario at
the global and national levels.
The Age of Information created
the ‘knowledge economy’, gave a new dimension to the process of making a
decision and underscored the importance of Intelligence which by
definition is information of special value since it gave a peep into
what opportunity or risk was there on the horizon.
Knowledge is
analysed information, Intelligence is futuristic information and
decision-making requires information that bridges the gap between
‘guesswork’ and the ‘reality’. A global mindset is an essential trait
required for the successful handling of business today - it has always
been needed in the sphere of national security- because a rival or
adversary could be operating from anywhere across the geographical
frontiers.
Finally, in the Age of Information, competent analysis
of facts garnered from the public domain has acquired newfound
importance because the enemy or the rival leaves enough footprints in
the social or cyber media even while using the latter covertly. This in
fact is an exercise of Intelligence generation as the analysts can
possibly read the intention of the opponent for the future.
The
march to the Age of Intelligence is being fast-paced by the advances
that Information Technology has made towards applications of Artificial
Intelligence in the spheres of innovation, business and security.
Within
the input-output principle that governs all transactions in the digital
world, AI has emerged as the enabling instrument for the instant
processing of a billion data to produce findings that would be humanly
impossible to reach. What is of concern about AI applications, however,
is that apart from data processing, they enable simulation of voice,
photo identity and even personal behaviour including choices exercised
by the individual, to generate fake versions that could be used for
‘misinformation’, fraud and political purposes like image bashing and
influencing the electoral process.
AI has produced the phenomena
of ‘Machine learning’, ‘Deep learning’ and ‘Natural language process’
but it has to be remembered that the so-called ‘Computer vision’ is
still rooted in ‘pattern’ reading and use of ‘key’ words. ‘Intelligence’
produced through this route is confined to a limited ‘predictability’
of human conduct based on analysis of personal data.
The
versatility of thought that the human mind can command while examining a
situation, the ‘imagination’ that it can invoke in seeing what lay
beyond the data in front and the quality of human ‘empathy’ it can use
in decision-making is what would distinguish Human Intelligence from
Artificial Intelligence. This is not to underplay the epoch-making
promise of the human good that AI as an ultimate advancement of IT, has
offered.
The fact is that AI is a further milestone in the world’s
progress from the ‘Age of Information’ to the ‘Age of Intelligence’.
There is little doubt that the legitimate growth of AI is putting health
care, education, innovation, productivity and Human Resource
development on an entirely new pedestal and helping the larger good of
the world.
There have been some concerns about possible job
losses, particularly in the white-collar segment but what is on the
anvil is that businesses are going to get more efficient, diversified
and stable through AI applications without necessarily reducing their
manpower.
The call for global AI regulations is already emerging
as a major requirement and this matter has figured prominently at G20
and other international platforms like the APEC Summit because of the
fear of misuse of weapon automatisation and the danger of malcontents
and terrorists using technology to plan and execute operations including
cyber attacks.
The use of AI by Israel to identify and locate
Hamas targets in Gaza is an illustration of its application in defence.
India is rightly at the forefront of efforts to put AI applications for
the larger good of humanity and prevent their destructive fallout at the
same time. It has just hosted an international conference in Delhi to
deliberate on various aspects of AI.