Bikky Khosla | 23 Jul, 2024
The Economic Survey tabled by Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman in Parliament on Monday sheds important light on the different
aspects of the Indian economy. With a GDP growth projection of 6.5 to 7 percent
for 2024-25, the survey sees the Indian economy on a strong wicket, but its flags
some concerns as well, including high food price inflation, sluggish FDI and skill
gap crisis which, according to experts, need to be addressed.
On exports, the Survey points out that "India's external
sector is safely navigating through uncertainties" despite continuation of
moderation in merchandise exports during FY24, which however, comes with a
sharper decline in merchandise import growth. On the other hand, service
exports have remained robust, reaching a new high of $341.1 billion in FY24. The
Survey also reports significant product specific exports growth witnessed in sectors
like toys, defence, footwear, and smartphones.
On industrial growth, the Survey states that growth accelerated
in FY24, with manufacturing and construction playing the key role. While 25 percent
higher industrial GVA at constant prices compared to pre-Covid FY20 levels affirms
broad-based recovery and consolidation, this was aided by "greater credit
offtake, a thrust on capital formation to shore up infrastructure-oriented
sectors, and a supportive policy framework", the Survey views.
On private investment, the Survey
states that it will be further strengthened by healthier
corporate and bank balance sheets while on private consumption, it is points
out that urban demand condition has remained strong and rural consumption has
also been gradually picking up pace during the quarter ending March. On public
expenditure, it highlights that infrastructure thrust of the Government has led
to an unprecedented increase in capital expenditure by the Centre and the
states.
I invite your opinions.