Bikky Khosla | 30 May, 2022
The
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) last week released its Annual Report for the year
2021-22, in which the central bank sheds light on several key economic issues,
including global economic risks, domestic growth prospects and challenges
facing the Indian economy at this juncture. At a time when our economy is reeling
under the pressure of global geopolitical tensions, high inflation, adverse
weather condition and other issues, the insights provided by the RBI report are
worth discussing.
The
report points out that while in 2021 the Indian economy was battered by several
waves of the Covid-19 pandemic, supply side and logistic related issues, high
inflation and negative financial market conditions, from late February 2022 a
whole new crisis has reared its head in the form of the Russia-Ukraine war, and
as a result, there are challenges abound ahead, though the momentum of economic
recovery can broadly be expected to continue through the ongoing
financial year.
On
GDP front, RBI sticks to its revised growth figures of 7.2 percent while on
inflation the central banks views that a lot will depend on the evolving
geopolitical situation. The report, despite expecting better days ahead for the
agriculture sector, emphasizes on raising farm productivity and adds that
revival of economic activity is evident also across other sectors, but this needs
to be "assiduously nurtured in order to boost consumer and business confidence
and private investment".
Overall,
RBI is of the opinion that the Indian economy - like most of the emerging
market and developing economies- has been bearing the brunt of the ongoing
Russia-Ukraine war, but despite several headwinds, its recovery is still
underway, and in order to pave the future path of growth, the Centre must
address the supply-side bottlenecks, come out with targeted fiscal support
measures, and continue structural reforms while tightening the noose over
rising inflation should be the focus of the central bank.
I invite your opinions.