Bikky Khosla | 12 Apr, 2022
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) last
week retained the key policy rate, repo -- the rate at which
the central bank lends short-term funds to banks-- at 4 percent during the first monetary policy review of FY23. It also kept
the policy stance as ‘accommodative’, indicating that the central bank is
focused on boosting the economic growth. Since February 2019, RBI has cut the
repo rate by 250 basis points, and the latest move seems like a balancing act.
As far as inflation is concerned, the central bank has
raised its forecast to 5.7 percent against the previous estimate of 4.5 percent,
signalling the end of an over two-year-long period of “ultra accommodation”. It
is why the MPC, while voting unanimously to keep the stance accommodative,
inserted a rider -- focusing on withdrawal of accommodation to ensure that
inflation remains within the target going forward, while supporting growth. Inflation
is now put before growth, the RBI governor said.
On growth, the central bank cut its projections for the
economy in the current financial year. FY23 GDP growth
projection is now to 7.2 percent from an earlier estimation of 7.8 percent, in
the background of escalating geopolitical tensions which may hit economic
recovery through elevated commodity prices and global spill-over channels. The
RBI also expressed concern over financial market volatility induced by monetary
policy normalisation in advanced economies.
A change this time is that RBI is
opting to introduce the concept of the Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) in order
to remove the binding collateral constraint on the central bank and strengthen
the operating framework of monetary policy. Also, it has proposed to set up a
multi-year plan to roll back liquidity surplus. All these indicate that the RBI,
while maintaining its accommodative stance, is no less concerned in managing
inflation.
I invite your opinions.