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Last updated: 27 Sep, 2014  

India.China.9.Thmb.jpg Will India-China economic dialogue help exporters?

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Bikky Khosla | 27 Sep, 2011

Will China really open up its market further for Indian exporters? This question has again come to the fore with yesterday's first-ever Strategic Economic Dialogue between the two nations. During the India-China Joint Group on Economic Relations last year, China had said that it would give India access to some sectors such as pharmaceuticals and IT, but the promise is hardly kept, at least till now. It is expected that the new round of talks would spark fresh interest for businesses from both the sides.

In the last few years, India-China trade has witnessed a robust growth, crossing the target of $60 billion in 2010. The two nations have set a trade target $100 billion by 2015, which seems achievable considering the recent pace of bilateral trade growth. But despite this growth, India's trade deficit with China, which stood at $20.02 billion in 2010 increasing from $15.87 billion trade in 2009, is still a concern.

Clearly, the recent growth in India-China bilateral trade is favouring the latter. Another worry is that India's exports to China are primarily non-manufactured goods, particularly raw materials, of which only iron ore comprises a whopping 50 percent, but China's exports to India mostly include value-added finished and semi-finished products. This is, needless to say, against the interest of our economy.

Yesterday's dialogue, held against the backdrop of India's growing trade deficit with China, seems to hold some promise as both the countries have agreed "to deepen bilateral investments, further open up markets and share developmental experiences". According to news reports, the two sides have agreed to strengthen cooperation in infrastructure development, energy efficiency, and communication on macro-economic policies. These are certainly very good developments, and if steps are implemented as proposed, both the countries will benefit from these greater commercial interactions.

I feel that India and China, two of the fastest growing economies in the world, should think beyond the history of rivalry and move faster towards greater collaboration as there is a huge scope for both the economies to benefit from each other. For example, there is a lot for India to learn from China in areas like urban development, power projects, and infrastructure. China, on the other hand, can learn from India's success story in the field of information technology and IT enabled services. Also, there is enough scope for Indian and Chinese businesses to participate in infrastructure, transportation and power distribution projects in both the countries. 


As far opportunities that could arise for our exporters from greater India-China collaboration are concerned, I also think that China's large domestic automobile market offers huge opportunities for the Indian automotive sector. Moreover, Indian auto companies can also consider to use China as a low cost manufacturing base. In addition, I feel, with China's recently unveiled 12th Five Year Plan, which signals to the nation's gradual policy shift to a domestic consumer-driven economy, Indian exporters can expect a lot from the Chinese market in the coming days.

 
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Will India-China economic dialogue help exporters?
thomasrana@gmail.com | Thu Sep 5 18:07:00 2013
The so called bilateral trade will never work with India and never with China due to the following reasons; 1. India will never be able to compete with China in terms of production costs; due to the low wages, long working hours and extremely low electricity costs. 2. The Chinese currency is not 100% free to fluctuate as per market conditions. It is undervalued by 20-30% minimum. 3. Whoever invented and signed of the WTO agreements are now finding themselves in a trap due to point number 2 above. The west has at least realized it now. India will never. 4. Indians work less than the Chinese - due to the laziness. Trade unions are always behind them to protect them. 5. Chinese are forced to work harder and longer than Indians. I would say, they are being exploited. But the result is lesser production costs. Whoever has written this article seems to be having a lot of theoretical knowledge. Do not know, if he has really tried to export something to China. I am a suffering manufacturer competing with Chinese imports. Thomas


INDIA-CHINA ECONOMIC DIALGOUE
DRPREMRGOEL | Wed Oct 12 02:00:58 2011
I FEEL THAT SUCH A DIALOGUE WOULD CREATE WONDERS AND CHINDIA WOULD BECOME A MAJOR ECONOMIC POWERHOUSE TO THE REST OF THE WORLD. BOTH THE ECONOMIES ARE GROWING. BOTH HAVE A 1 BILLION PLUS POPULATION. BOTH HAVE A HUGE CONSUMER BASE. BOTH HAVE A EDUCATED DIASPORA SETTLED IN USA WHO WANT TO COME HOME. THIS CAN CREATE A MIRACLE TO THE PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY. WITH THE TECHNICAL MANPOWER OF INDIA AND CHINA JOINING HANDS, CHINDIA CAN BE A MAJOR THREAT TO EUROPEAN DOMINANCE. YES WE BOTH HAVE OUR MIN USES BUT TWO MINUSES CAN BECOME A PLUS THIS DIALOGUE IF TAKEN BY THE MANDARINS AT NEW DELHI AND BEIJING IN THE RIGHT SPIRIT CAN CREATE A NEW STEVE JOBS FROM CHINDIA. THIS IS FROM SOMEONE WHO HAS LIVED BOTH IN USA AND CHINA AND IN INDIA. CHINDIA DOES NOT LACK THE INTELLECTUAL POWER BUT A SYNERGY BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES IS REQUIRED TO TAKE ONE STEP FURTHER.


India-China dialogue
allan_dsouza1@rediffmail.com | Fri Sep 30 01:11:14 2011
Tariff barriers should be on a level playing field since China business is largely state controlled and subsidized.


India-China Export isssue
Shriram.T.K.L | Thu Sep 29 14:29:36 2011
Nice article. Though I am not playing politics,still I am constrained to mention that this UPA Government is somewhat jittery when it comes to handling of China firmly.Be it economics, Border issues, maritime issues, our response is very mute and subtle. And above all, the Government woks up only when the media starts scrutinizing about China's issues.


India China Trade Co Operation
Prakash Patil | Wed Sep 28 11:45:27 2011
I have been NRI for over 2 decades and spent most of my time with China /Hong Kong. Given the base character of Chinese Manufactureres, most productive and union /strike free labour , well developed infrastructure and above all "Agressive and bulldozing attitude " the eventual outcome will be ill balanced favoring Chinese at the end of the day. If we are going to change radically and emulate what they are doing , then only , this exercise will bear some fruits , otherwise , we are no match for Chinese. The deficit will keep on increasing ....


India-China Bilateral Economic Co-operation
Sunil Vaghani | Wed Sep 28 09:38:35 2011
It is nice to see co-operation and bilateral business between both the countries but we Indians are used to always give more than what we receive in return. China has huge manufacturing facilities to create bulk products for the world and also create jobs in the process. Everything more or less belongs to Government and thus they will not allow our finished or semi finished goods to be imported in China and how much raw material you can give to off set trade balance between the countries ? In other words, India will always have trade deficit against China. Other issue is their currency, which is linked to US Dollar, unlike our Rupee which is floating and freely traded they have upper hand as they can manipulate their cost against foreign currency which results in low cost in their manufacturing and production and if our Indian companies decide to take advantage of that situation, we will create unemployment in our own nation of skilled and semi skilled labour who should be really supported as they are the ones who move economy and bring stability to the country. So, we should take a step back and see what Chinese are prepared to give and reciprocate instead of running to them to save money for individual company by importing from them and not look at the overall picture for the whole nation.


International trade development and the Society
Narayan Behari Lall | Tue Sep 27 18:15:23 2011
International trade development is based on inter social exchange which opens up the the need of changes,depending on the arousing of the curiosity of the people of the two nations for the good and bad of the priorities of the people at present. The traditional and natural products which are still giving the relief to the people of both the nations,a simple happy living support is widely accepted by we two. Exploring the medicines from the Ayurveda could be an area of export base. Agriculture is another area of possibilities where perfumed varieties of flower could lead to development of perfumery industry which is on a high worldwide. Good variety of mangoes and rice which are already a favorite worldwide could be a winner. In all we need to draw the West through China to come back and restart the life naturally and peacefully to live happily for ever and ever!


Indo-China trade dialogue
Narayan Behari Lall | Tue Sep 27 17:42:07 2011
India will have to reform the mindset to focus on the targeted development in export with open mind and professionally,instead of looking into the political approval which has no role to play in business.We need to understand the need of the people of china from the traditional range of natural products and advertise the possible serious harm from currently toxic products in fashion in industries of China.


 
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